Research

Google Scholar: link. ORCID: 0000-0002-6802-4290

CURRENT WORKING PAPERS

Are supply-chain deforestation initiatives effective? The effects of zero-deforestation commitments in Indonesia’s palm oil sector. With Rachael Garrett, Robert Heilmayr, Kim Carlson, Jason Benedict, and Janina Grabs. Submitted.
Conservation policies are failing to reduce degradation in the Brazilian Amazon. With Federico Cammelli, Holly K Gibbs, Florian Gollnow, Samuel Levy, and Rachael D. Garrett. Submitted.
Mechanisms of reduced supply chain policy effectiveness and leakage in the Brazilian cattle sector. With Samuel Levy, Erasmus zu Ermgassen, Vivian Ribeiro, and Rachael D. Garrett.
Smallholder zero-deforestation agreements reduce forest loss on the Colombian Amazon frontier. With Paul Furumo and Eric Lambin.

With big data come big problems: pitfalls in measuring basis risk for crop index insurance. With David Lobell, Apratim Dey and Andrew Hobbs. arXiv working paper
On the benefits of index insurance in US agriculture: a large-scale analysis using satellite data. With David Lobell. arXiv working paper
Supply response at the field-level: disentangling area and yield effects. working paper
Global Yield Distributions since 1960. With Nathan Hendricks. working paper

How well does the implementation of corporate zero-deforestation commitments in Indonesia align with aims to halt deforestation and include smallholders? With Adelina Chandra et al. Environmental Research Letters, 19:4 www
Researchers’ Degrees-of-Flexibility and the Credibility of Difference-in-Differences Estimates: Evidence From the Pandemic Policy Evaluations. With Joakim Weil. Accepted at Economic Enquiry, NBER working paper

Optimal index insurance and basis risk decomposition: an application to Kenya. With David Lobell. American Journal of Agricultural Economics www

Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Estimate the Livelihood Impact of Electricity Access. With Nathan Ratledge et al., Nature, Vol. 611:7936, p. 491-495 www
Exposures and Behavioral Responses to Wildfire Smoke. With Marshall Burke et al. Nature Human Behaviour, Vol . 6, p. 1351–1361 www
The effects of agricultural policy on supply and productivity: Evidence from differential changes in distortions. With N. Hendricks, A. Smith, Nelson and B. Villoria. Agricultural economics, 54: 44–61 www

Social Distancing Responses to COVID-19 Emergency Declarations Strongly Differentiated by Income. With J. Weill, O Deschenes and M. Springborn. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(33), p. 19658-19660 www. Media coverage: Wired, New York Post, Los Angeles Times
Stigler, M. tsDyn: Threshold cointegration: overview and implementation in R, Handbook of Statistics, Volume 42, p. 229-264, Elsevier www

Stigler, M. et al. Book review : Methods to analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility, European Review of Agricultural Economics, 39:4, www
Steffen, Stigler, M., Contract Management after milk quotas, in Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture, SSA, pdf

Stigler, M. Commodity Price properties, in Safeguarding Food Security in Volatile Global Markets, FAO, pdf
Prakash, A. and Stigler, M. The Economics of information and behaviour in explaining excess volatility, in Safeguarding Food Security in Volatile Global Markets, FAO, pdf
Stigler, M. and Prakash, A. The Role of Stocks in Generating Volatility and Crisis, in Safeguarding Food Security in Volatile Global Markets, FAO, pdf
Stigler, M. Tortora P. Food crisis : did prices rise faster than they fell ?, Research Topics in Agricultural and Applied Economics, Bentham Science Publishers, www

Gairing, M., Mann, S., and Stigler, M. The end of Milk Quotas: Developments on the Swiss Milk Market, ART report series, no 732, www

Measuring rotation effects in the US Corn Belt: a multiple diff-diff approach. working paper
Stylized facts on the US Corn Belt: a satellite tour. working paper
Yield response to climate: new insights from functional data analysis.
Within field variability and nitrogen leaching: is there a win-win conservation policy?